Germany and UK renewables, lecture in 2015




My six points outline:

1. Global energy mix
2. Generation cost, Electricity prices
3. Germany Case
4. UK Case
5. No climate basis for renewables cronyism
6. Conclusions

Europe being a very modern continent, and Germany and UK being highly industrialized countries, and  yet there are stories  and reports of “EU risks blackout”, a “dark continent”, and “impossible green  dream”.



IV.  UK Case



Climate change (CC) is true. It happened in the past, happening now, and will  happen in the future. Global warming (GW) is true, it happened in the past (last century, Medieval warm period, Roman warm period,…), and will happen again  in the future. Global cooling is also  true, happened in the past, happening now.

Because CC is natural (nature-made, not made), it is cyclical (warming-cooling-warming-cooling), and has precedents (not “unprecedented”). Skeptics (like me) do not deny CC or GW because these are true. What we deny is that CC and GW is “man-made” or anthropogenic. CC is caused by nature (the Sun, galactic cosmic rays, water vapor, volcanoes, ocean oscillation, carbon  cycle, hydrologic cycle,…).

Below, warming-cooling cycle coinciding with CO2 concentration. One study says temperature leads CO2, other studies say it’s the reverse. Common denominator, there are precedents of warm period, lasting for decades & centuries.


3. Renewables are fine, provided there should be NO subsidies. People can put up solar panels in the roof of their houses  and buildings, fine. People can put up  wind towers in  their farms and private property, fine. They are using their own money, taking their own risks and benefits.

4. It is  different  when  people put up wind farms or  solar farms in huge areas including public forest lands, because they want to get paid huge money (via RPS and FIT) at the expense of consumers. FIT is the guaranteed minimum for renewables. While coal, nat gas, big hydro  geothermal can be priced down to P1/kWh or even less during  non-peak hours, renewables are guaranteed to be paid FIT rates.


5. Cases of Germany and UK show that government intervention and cronyism in energy policy is wrong and  counter-productive. Governments should get out of electricity pricing, stop forcing grid operators and electricity distributors to buy first from renewables even if their rates are expensive.

6. There is zero climate basis  for  renewables  cronyism. There is zero justification for governments to  intervene heavily in energy production mix and electricity pricing.

The full 23-slides presentation is posted in slideshare.

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